Tiffany Cloud | 480.784.7600

 
Thursday, March 12, 2009

Why 7.1% Unemployment Rate in Arizona is 'Good'

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Of the states hardest hit by the housing bubble, Arizona’s unemployment rate is by far the lowest.  Historically Arizona has always benefited from a lower than average unemployment rate compared to the rest of the country.  When looking at the last 10 years statistics we had several years of 3-4% unemployment and average about 5%.  Yes, we are currently at a a decade high of 7.1% but that is still below the National average of 7.6% (Jan 2009), even though Arizona had the largest drop in home values in the nation for 2008 at 34%.  Think about it, with THE LARGEST DECLINE of home values in the nation wouldn’t one expect our unemployment rate to be much higher?

Let’s compare Jan 2009 Unemployment Rates in AZ to a few of the other states hit hard by the housing bubble:


Current Unemployment Rate For January 2009

Difference from National Average of 7.6%

Highest Monthly Unemployment Rate from 1985-2008

Arizona

7.1% - .06% 7.7%

California

10.1 + 2.5% 9.9%

Florida

8.6% + 1.0% 8.9%

Nevada

9.4% + 1.8% 8.4%

 
Do I suspect that the  Arizona unemployment rate might go higher?  Sure, most likely; but let's keep the rate in perspective with the rest of the nation, the other 'bubble states' and the fact that we are #1 for housing decline in the nation.  Unemployment is bad.  7.1% in this economy??....I can live with that.

 

 

Bureau of Labor Statistics

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